Data releases
Jobs, PMIs and the other prints that move markets, and how to read them. Every note filed under this section.
4 notes, newest first
RSSWhy Unemployment Rate Can Fall When Economy Loses Jobs
In July the US economy shed jobs yet the unemployment rate declined. This happens because the rate only counts people actively looking for work, so participation shifts can improve the headline without real hiring gains.
How Services PMI Moves the Dollar and Why Gold Feels It
Europe's economy is expected to shrink while the US holds steady. The gap between these outcomes drives rate expectations, currency moves, and ultimately gold prices through a clear four-step chain.
What Is Core PCE — and Why Does It Exclude the Thing Everyone's Paying For?
Core PCE fell for the first time since the pandemic while petrol prices climb. Learn what this Fed-preferred inflation gauge measures, why it strips out food and energy, and how to read the data without getting misled.
NFP Trading Guide 2026: Build Probability Frameworks Before the Print
Master NFP trading in 2026 with this complete guide. Learn how to read Non-Farm Payrolls components, identify macro regimes, and use TradeEasy tools to build probability frameworks before the print. Prepare for Gold, Bitcoin, and Nasdaq reactions.