US nonfarm payrolls (Oct)
Fri 6 November · 08:30 ET · in 20 d 1 h. Net change in jobs on company payrolls.
- Forecast
- No forecast
- Previous
- 29K
- Actual
- Due 08:30 ET
Below −40KIn line −40K to 98KAbove 98K
▏Forecast —○ Previous 29K
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below −40K | USD down EUR/USD up GBP/USD up USD/JPY down Gold up |
|---|---|---|
| In line | −40K to 98K | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 98K | USD up EUR/USD down GBP/USD down USD/JPY up Gold down |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 69K). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. USD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when USD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 7 above · 0 in line · 5 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | Sep | 90K | 29K | Below forecast |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Aug | 56K | 162K | Above forecast |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Jul | 80K | −23K | Below forecast |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Jun | 110K | 57K | Below forecast |
| 5 Jun 2026 | May | 85K | 172K | Above forecast |
| 8 May 2026 | Apr | 62K | 115K | Above forecast |
| 3 Apr 2026 | Mar | 60K | 178K | Above forecast |
| 6 Mar 2026 | Feb | 59K | −92K | Below forecast |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Jan | 70K | 130K | Above forecast |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Dec | 60K | 50K | Below forecast |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Nov | 50K | 64K | Above forecast |
| 20 Nov 2025 | Sep | 50K | 119K | Above forecast |
What moved
After it prints: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Gold from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.