US durable goods orders, month on month (Sep)
Tue 27 October · 08:30 ET · in 10 d. Orders for goods built to last three years or more.
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Previous
- −0.1%
- Actual
- Due 08:30 ET
Below −0.45%In line −0.45% to 0.85%Above 0.85%
▏Forecast 0.2%○ Previous −0.1%
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below −0.45% | USD down EUR/USD up GBP/USD up USD/JPY down Gold up |
|---|---|---|
| In line | −0.45% to 0.85% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 0.85% | USD up EUR/USD down GBP/USD down USD/JPY up Gold down |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.65%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. USD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when USD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 7 above · 1 in line · 4 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | Aug | −0.4% | 0% | Above forecast |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Jul | 0.5% | 1.1% | Above forecast |
| 27 Jul 2026 | Jun | 2.5% | 0.3% | Below forecast |
| 25 Jun 2026 | May | −4.5% | −4.5% | In line with forecast |
| 28 May 2026 | Apr | 3.5% | 7.9% | Above forecast |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Mar | 0.5% | 0.8% | Above forecast |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Feb | −0.5% | −1.4% | Below forecast |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Jan | 1.2% | 0% | Below forecast |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Dec | −2% | −1.4% | Above forecast |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Nov | 3.7% | 5.3% | Above forecast |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Oct | −1.5% | −2.2% | Below forecast |
| 26 Nov 2025 | Sep | 0.3% | 0.5% | Above forecast |
What moved
After it prints: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Gold from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.