High importanceUKGBP · Central bank · 29 Oct 2026 · 08:00 ET · in 11 d 23 h

Bank of England interest rate decision

Thu 29 October · 08:00 ET (12:00 London) · in 11 d 23 h. The central bank’s policy rate decision.

Forecast
No forecast
Previous
3.75%
Actual
Due 08:00 ET

Below 3.75%In line 3.75% to 3.75%Above 3.75%

▏Forecast —○ Previous 3.75%

The levelsMeasured from its last 8 prints

BelowBelow 3.75%GBP down
GBP/USD down EUR/GBP up GBP/JPY down
In line3.75% to 3.75%Limited follow-through
AboveAbove 3.75%GBP up
GBP/USD up EUR/GBP down GBP/JPY up

In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. GBP up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when GBP does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.

Its own historyLast 8 prints vs the forecast before each: 0 above · 8 in line · 0 below

3.71%3.79%3.88%3.96%4.04%Nov ’25Feb ’26Apr ’26Jul ’26Next (next)

— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range

Release history

ReleasedPeriodForecastActualPosition
17 Sep 2026Sep3.75%3.75%In line with forecast
30 Jul 2026Jul3.75%3.75%In line with forecast
18 Jun 2026Jun3.75%3.75%In line with forecast
30 Apr 2026Apr3.75%3.75%In line with forecast
19 Mar 2026Mar3.75%3.75%In line with forecast
5 Feb 2026Feb3.75%3.75%In line with forecast
18 Dec 2025Dec3.75%3.75%In line with forecast
6 Nov 2025Nov4%4%In line with forecast

What moved

After it prints: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP and GBP/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.