High importanceEUEUR · Other · 29 Oct 2026 · 09:15 ET · in 12 d 1 h

ECB deposit facility rate (Oct)

Thu 29 October · 09:15 ET (14:15 Frankfurt) · in 12 d 1 h.

Forecast
No forecast
Previous
2.5%
Actual
Due 09:15 ET

Below 2.5%In line 2.5% to 2.5%Above 2.5%

▏Forecast —○ Previous 2.5%

The levelsMeasured from its last 8 prints

BelowBelow 2.5%No mapped direction
In line2.5% to 2.5%Limited follow-through
AboveAbove 2.5%No mapped direction

In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. EUR up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when EUR does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.

Its own historyLast 8 prints vs the forecast before each: 0 above · 8 in line · 0 below

1.93%2.09%2.25%2.41%2.58%Oct ’25Feb ’26Apr ’26Jul ’26Oct (next)

— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range

Release history

ReleasedPeriodForecastActualPosition
10 Sep 2026Sep2.5%2.5%In line with forecast
23 Jul 2026Jul2.25%2.25%In line with forecast
11 Jun 2026Jun2.25%2.25%In line with forecast
30 Apr 2026Apr2%2%In line with forecast
19 Mar 2026Mar2%2%In line with forecast
5 Feb 2026Feb2%2%In line with forecast
18 Dec 2025Dec2%2%In line with forecast
30 Oct 2025Oct2%2%In line with forecast

What moved

After it prints: The pairs it maps from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.