German ZEW economic sentiment (Oct)
Tue 20 October · 05:00 ET (11:00 Frankfurt) · in 2 d 21 h. Composite survey of business and consumer mood.
- Forecast
- 31.6
- Previous
- 34.7
- Actual
- Due 05:00 ET
Below 23.3In line 23.3 to 39.9Above 39.9
▏Forecast 31.6○ Previous 34.7
The levelsMeasured from its last 11 prints
| Below | Below 23.3 | EUR down EUR/USD down EUR/GBP down EUR/JPY down |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 23.3 to 39.9 | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 39.9 | EUR up EUR/USD up EUR/GBP up EUR/JPY up |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 8.3). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. EUR up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when EUR does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 11 prints vs the forecast before each: 6 above · 0 in line · 5 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | Sep | 37 | 34.7 | Below forecast |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Aug | 30 | 34.2 | Above forecast |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Jul | 18 | 26.3 | Above forecast |
| 16 Jun 2026 | Jun | −6 | 10.5 | Above forecast |
| 12 May 2026 | May | −19.8 | −10.2 | Above forecast |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Apr | −5 | −17.2 | Below forecast |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Mar | 39 | −0.5 | Below forecast |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Feb | 65 | 58.3 | Below forecast |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Jan | 50 | 59.6 | Above forecast |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Dec | 38.5 | 45.8 | Above forecast |
| 11 Nov 2025 | Nov | 40 | 38.5 | Below forecast |
What moved
After it prints: EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.
