China retail sales, year on year (Sep)
Sun 18 October · 22:00 ET (10:00 Beijing) · in 1 d 13 h. Consumer spending at retailers.
- Forecast
- 0.5%
- Previous
- 0.4%
- Actual
- Due 22:00 ET
Below 0%In line 0% to 1%Above 1%
▏Forecast 0.5%○ Previous 0.4%
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below 0% | CNY down |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 0% to 1% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 1% | CNY up |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.5%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. CNY up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when CNY does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 11 prints vs the forecast before each: 4 above · 0 in line · 7 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2026 | Aug | 0.8% | 0.4% | Below forecast |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Jul | 1.5% | 0.6% | Below forecast |
| 14 Jul 2026 | Jun | −0.1% | 1% | Above forecast |
| 15 Jun 2026 | May | 0% | −0.6% | Below forecast |
| 17 May 2026 | Apr | 2% | 0.2% | Below forecast |
| 15 Apr 2026 | Mar | 2.3% | 1.7% | Below forecast |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Feb | 2.6% | 2.8% | Above forecast |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Dec | 1.2% | 0.9% | Below forecast |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Nov | 2.9% | 1.3% | Below forecast |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Oct | 2.7% | 2.9% | Above forecast |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Sep | 2.9% | 3% | Above forecast |
What moved
After it prints: The pairs it maps from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.