China industrial production, year on year (Sep)
Sun 18 October · 22:00 ET (10:00 Beijing) · in 1 d 13 h. Output of factories, mines and utilities.
- Forecast
- 5.4%
- Previous
- 5.2%
- Actual
- Due 22:00 ET
Below 4.85%In line 4.85% to 5.95%Above 5.95%
▏Forecast 5.4%○ Previous 5.2%
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below 4.85% | CNY down |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 4.85% to 5.95% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 5.95% | CNY up |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.55%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. CNY up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when CNY does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 11 prints vs the forecast before each: 7 above · 0 in line · 4 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2026 | Aug | 4.8% | 5.2% | Above forecast |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Jul | 5% | 4.5% | Below forecast |
| 14 Jul 2026 | Jun | 4.6% | 5.3% | Above forecast |
| 15 Jun 2026 | May | 4.3% | 4.5% | Above forecast |
| 17 May 2026 | Apr | 5.9% | 4.1% | Below forecast |
| 15 Apr 2026 | Mar | 5.5% | 5.7% | Above forecast |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Feb | 5.3% | 6.3% | Above forecast |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Dec | 5% | 5.2% | Above forecast |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Nov | 5% | 4.8% | Below forecast |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Oct | 5.5% | 4.9% | Below forecast |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Sep | 5% | 6.5% | Above forecast |
What moved
After it prints: The pairs it maps from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.