China exports, year on year (Oct)
Mon 9 November · 22:00 ET (11:00 Beijing) · in 23 d 14 h. Value of goods and services sold abroad.
- Forecast
- No forecast
- Previous
- 36.3%
- Actual
- Due 22:00 ET
Below 31.9%In line 31.9% to 40.7%Above 40.7%
▏Forecast —○ Previous 36.3%
The levelsMeasured from its last 11 prints
| Below | Below 31.9% | CNY down |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 31.9% to 40.7% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 40.7% | CNY up |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 4.4%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. CNY up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when CNY does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 11 prints vs the forecast before each: 8 above · 1 in line · 2 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | Sep | 25.5% | 36.3% | Above forecast |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Aug | 25% | 25% | In line with forecast |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Jul | 22.2% | 23.9% | Above forecast |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Jun | 18.2% | 27% | Above forecast |
| 8 Jun 2026 | May | 15% | 19.4% | Above forecast |
| 8 May 2026 | Apr | 7.9% | 14.1% | Above forecast |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Mar | 8.3% | 2.5% | Below forecast |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Feb | 7.1% | 21.8% | Above forecast |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Dec | 3% | 6.6% | Above forecast |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Nov | 3.8% | 5.9% | Above forecast |
| 6 Nov 2025 | Oct | 3% | −1.1% | Below forecast |
What moved
After it prints: The pairs it maps from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.