China balance of trade (Oct)
Mon 9 November · 22:00 ET (11:00 Beijing) · in 23 d 14 h.
- Forecast
- 135B
- Previous
- 133.53B
- Actual
- Due 22:00 ET
Below 129.5BIn line 129.5B to 140.5BAbove 140.5B
▏Forecast 135B○ Previous 133.53B
The levelsMeasured from its last 11 prints
| Below | Below 129.5B | No mapped direction |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 129.5B to 140.5B | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 140.5B | No mapped direction |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 5.5B). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. CNY up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when CNY does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 11 prints vs the forecast before each: 8 above · 1 in line · 2 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | Sep | 118.1B | 133.53B | Above forecast |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Aug | 119.1B | 119.1B | In line with forecast |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Jul | 107B | 112.5B | Above forecast |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Jun | 121B | 125.62B | Above forecast |
| 8 Jun 2026 | May | 92.1B | 105.43B | Above forecast |
| 8 May 2026 | Apr | 83.3B | 84.82B | Above forecast |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Mar | 112B | 51.13B | Below forecast |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Feb | 177.4B | 213.62B | Above forecast |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Dec | 113.6B | 114.1B | Above forecast |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Nov | 100.2B | 111.68B | Above forecast |
| 6 Nov 2025 | Oct | 95.6B | 90.07B | Below forecast |
What moved
After it prints: The pairs it maps from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.