High importanceCACAD · Growth · 30 Nov 2026 · 08:30 ET · in 44 d 1 h

Canada GDP growth, quarter on quarter (Q3)

Mon 30 November · 08:30 ET · in 44 d 1 h. Total output of the economy — the broadest growth measure.

Forecast
0.4%
Previous
0.8%
Actual
Due 08:30 ET

Below 0.3%In line 0.3% to 0.5%Above 0.5%

▏Forecast 0.4%○ Previous 0.8%

The levelsMeasured from its last 4 prints

BelowBelow 0.3%CAD down
USD/CAD up CAD/JPY down
In line0.3% to 0.5%Limited follow-through
AboveAbove 0.5%CAD up
USD/CAD down CAD/JPY up

In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.1%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. CAD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when CAD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.

Its own historyLast 4 prints vs the forecast before each: 1 above · 1 in line · 2 below

−0.35%−0.02%0.3%0.63%0.95%Nov ’25Feb ’26May ’26Aug ’26Q3 (next)

— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range

Release history

ReleasedPeriodForecastActualPosition
28 Aug 2026Q20.8%0.8%In line with forecast
29 May 2026Q10.1%0%Below forecast
27 Feb 2026Q4−0.1%−0.2%Below forecast
28 Nov 2025Q30.3%0.6%Above forecast

What moved

After it prints: USD/CAD and CAD/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.