High importanceCACAD · Growth · 30 Nov 2026 · 08:30 ET · in 44 d 1 h

Canada GDP growth, annualised (Q3)

Mon 30 November · 08:30 ET · in 44 d 1 h. Total output of the economy — the broadest growth measure.

Forecast
1.3%
Previous
3.3%
Actual
Due 08:30 ET

Below 0.2%In line 0.2% to 2.4%Above 2.4%

▏Forecast 1.3%○ Previous 3.3%

The levelsMeasured from its last 4 prints

BelowBelow 0.2%CAD down
USD/CAD up CAD/JPY down
In line0.2% to 2.4%Limited follow-through
AboveAbove 2.4%CAD up
USD/CAD down CAD/JPY up

In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 1.1%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. CAD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when CAD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.

Its own historyLast 4 prints vs the forecast before each: 1 above · 0 in line · 3 below

−1.2%0.1%1.4%2.7%4%Nov ’25Feb ’26May ’26Aug ’26Q3 (next)

— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range

Release history

ReleasedPeriodForecastActualPosition
28 Aug 2026Q23.4%3.3%Below forecast
29 May 2026Q11.5%−0.1%Below forecast
27 Feb 2026Q40%−0.6%Below forecast
28 Nov 2025Q30.5%2.6%Above forecast

What moved

After it prints: USD/CAD and CAD/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.