Canada inflation rate, year on year (Sep)
Mon 19 October · 08:30 ET · in 2 d. Change in the general price level.
- Forecast
- 3.2%
- Previous
- 3%
- Actual
- Due 08:30 ET
Below 3.1%In line 3.1% to 3.3%Above 3.3%
▏Forecast 3.2%○ Previous 3%
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below 3.1% | CAD down USD/CAD up CAD/JPY down |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 3.1% to 3.3% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 3.3% | CAD up USD/CAD down CAD/JPY up |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.1%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. CAD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when CAD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 4 above · 1 in line · 7 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2026 | Aug | 3% | 3% | In line with forecast |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Jul | 2.9% | 3% | Above forecast |
| 20 Jul 2026 | Jun | 2.9% | 2.8% | Below forecast |
| 22 Jun 2026 | May | 3% | 3.2% | Above forecast |
| 19 May 2026 | Apr | 3.1% | 2.8% | Below forecast |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Mar | 2.5% | 2.4% | Below forecast |
| 16 Mar 2026 | Feb | 1.9% | 1.8% | Below forecast |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Jan | 2.4% | 2.3% | Below forecast |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Dec | 2.2% | 2.4% | Above forecast |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Nov | 2.3% | 2.2% | Below forecast |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Oct | 2.4% | 2.2% | Below forecast |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Sep | 2.3% | 2.4% | Above forecast |
What moved
After it prints: USD/CAD and CAD/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.