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BTC
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+0.18%
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−0.04%
OIL
81.40
+1.20%
JPY
157.04
+0.24%
NVDA
892.40
+3.11%
XAG
31.92
+1.80%
AAPL
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Mexican peso COT report: large speculators at the 64th percentile of three years

Large speculators are more long than in 64% of the last 156 weekly reports. They hold 75,167 contracts net long, down 12,615 on the week.

Positions are in the mexican peso futures contract: “long” means long the mexican peso against the US dollar.

M6 · CFTC Legacy report, futures only · data as of Tue 22 Sep 2026 · published Fri 25 Sep · next Fri 2 Oct, 15:30 ET
Large speculators · 3-year percentile
64thMid-range
Last week 78th1-year 43rd

Positions by trader group

Trader groupLongShortNetWk chg% OI long3-year percentile1-yr
Large speculatorsNon-commercial traders127,59552,428+75,167−12,61548.0%64thMid-range43rd
CommercialsHedgers and producers129,825209,445−79,620+12,07748.8%36thMid-range57th
Small tradersNon-reportable positions7,4763,023+4,453+5382.8%67thMid-range47th
Open interest 266,061Commercials usually sit opposite large speculators — that is hedging, not a view.
Large speculatorsNon-commercial traders
64thMid-range
Long127.6kShort52.4kNet+75.2kWk chg−12.6k
CommercialsHedgers and producers
36thMid-range
Long129.8kShort209.4kNet−79.6kWk chg+12.1k
Small tradersNon-reportable positions
67thMid-range
Long7.5kShort3.0kNet+4.5kWk chg+538

Open interest 266,061

Three years of positioning

USDMXN close on each report date (own panel, own scale; moves opposite to this future) · Large speculators net position (contracts) · dashed = 10th / 90th percentile of the weeks shown
3-year percentile, every week · blue = long side · rose = short side
Large speculators
Commercials
Small traders
Table view: all 156 weeks

This reading in context

  • Window high+139,691 · Tue 9 Apr 2024
  • Window low−1,544 · Tue 21 Jan 2025
  • Weeks at 90th+0 of 29 · how rare this reading is

Past extreme readings

  • Extreme long25 Aug ’26 · Small traders · 97th · net +6.0k
  • Extreme long11 Aug ’26 · Small traders · 98th · net +6.1k
  • Extreme long4 Aug ’26 · Small traders · 91st · net +5.3k
  • Extreme long16 Jun ’26 · Small traders · 95th · net +5.5k
  • Extreme long2 Jun ’26 · Small traders · 100th · net +10.2k
  • Extreme long26 May ’26 · Small traders · 91st · net +5.2k

Weekly change, last 12 reports

7 Jul−12,61522 Sep

Large speculators have reduced their net position for 2 straight weeks.

Euro FX11thBritish pound4thJapanese yen80thSwiss franc61stAustralian dollar55thCanadian dollar74th

Positioning is descriptive: it shows where each group stands against its own history, not where price goes next. Crowded positions can stay crowded for months.

What the COT report is, and how to read it

What the COT report is

Every Friday the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) publishes who holds what in each regulated futures market, as of the previous Tuesday. The Legacy report groups traders into large speculators (non-commercial), commercials (hedgers and producers) and small traders (positions too small to report), so you can see which side each group is on.

Why a percentile, not the raw number

Contract counts mean little on their own: 18,000 contracts is a lot in silver and very little in the S&P 500. So each net position is ranked against the same contract’s own last 3 years (156 weekly reports). The 92nd percentile means more long than in 92% of those weeks. Where we hold fewer weeks, the page says so (“1-year percentile”).

How people read the extremes

Readings at or above the 90th percentile, or at or below the 10th, are rare by definition — the group is unusually one-sided. That describes positioning; it is not a forecast. Crowded positions can stay crowded for months.

What it can’t tell you

The data is three days old when published and covers futures only. It shows positions, not intentions or timing, and says nothing on its own about where price goes next.

Educational information, not investment advice. Positioning data: CFTC Commitments of Traders (Legacy report, futures only), via Financial Modeling Prep. Percentiles are computed by TradeEasy against each contract’s own history. Past positioning does not predict future prices.

The COT report is free, and always will be.

A TradeEasy account adds positioning to the rest of the picture: the assets on your watchlist, the news moving them, and the sentiment read on each market.

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