US S&P Global services PMI (Oct)
Fri 23 October · 09:45 ET · in 6 d 1 h. Purchasing-managers survey — above 50 signals expansion.
- Forecast
- 57.9
- Previous
- 58.8
- Actual
- Due 09:45 ET
Below 57.6In line 57.6 to 58.2Above 58.2
▏Forecast 57.9○ Previous 58.8
The levelsMeasured from its last 11 prints
| Below | Below 57.6 | USD down EUR/USD up GBP/USD up USD/JPY down Gold up |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 57.6 to 58.2 | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 58.2 | USD up EUR/USD down GBP/USD down USD/JPY up Gold down |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.3). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. USD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when USD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 11 prints vs the forecast before each: 3 above · 0 in line · 8 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | Sep | 58.7 | 58.8 | Above forecast |
| 3 Sep 2026 | Aug | 56.8 | 56.5 | Below forecast |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Jul | 53.6 | 54.6 | Above forecast |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Jun | 51.3 | 51.2 | Below forecast |
| 3 Jun 2026 | May | 50.9 | 50.7 | Below forecast |
| 5 May 2026 | Apr | 51.3 | 51 | Below forecast |
| 3 Apr 2026 | Mar | 51.1 | 49.8 | Below forecast |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Feb | 52.3 | 51.7 | Below forecast |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Jan | 52.5 | 52.7 | Above forecast |
| 6 Jan 2026 | Dec | 52.9 | 52.5 | Below forecast |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Nov | 55 | 54.1 | Below forecast |
What moved
After it prints: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Gold from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.