US ISM services PMI (Oct)
Wed 4 November · 09:00 ET · in 18 d 2 h. US purchasing-managers survey — above 50 signals expansion.
- Forecast
- No forecast
- Previous
- 54.9
- Actual
- Due 09:00 ET
Below 54.3In line 54.3 to 55.5Above 55.5
▏Forecast —○ Previous 54.9
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below 54.3 | USD down EUR/USD up GBP/USD up USD/JPY down Gold up |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 54.3 to 55.5 | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 55.5 | USD up EUR/USD down GBP/USD down USD/JPY up Gold down |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.6). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. USD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when USD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 7 above · 1 in line · 4 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | Sep | 55 | 54.9 | Below forecast |
| 3 Sep 2026 | Aug | 54.3 | 55.4 | Above forecast |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Jul | 54.5 | 54.1 | Below forecast |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Jun | 54 | 54 | In line with forecast |
| 3 Jun 2026 | May | 53.8 | 54.5 | Above forecast |
| 5 May 2026 | Apr | 53.7 | 53.6 | Below forecast |
| 6 Apr 2026 | Mar | 55 | 54 | Below forecast |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Feb | 53.5 | 56.1 | Above forecast |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Jan | 53.5 | 53.8 | Above forecast |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Dec | 52.3 | 54.4 | Above forecast |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Nov | 52.1 | 52.6 | Above forecast |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Oct | 50.8 | 52.4 | Above forecast |
What moved
After it prints: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Gold from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.