US housing starts (Sep)
Tue 20 October · 08:30 ET · in 3 d. New homes on which construction has begun.
- Forecast
- 1.3M
- Previous
- 1.275M
- Actual
- Due 08:30 ET
Below 1.22MIn line 1.22M to 1.38MAbove 1.38M
▏Forecast 1.3M○ Previous 1.275M
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below 1.22M | USD down EUR/USD up GBP/USD up USD/JPY down Gold up |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 1.22M to 1.38M | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 1.38M | USD up EUR/USD down GBP/USD down USD/JPY up Gold down |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.08M). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. USD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when USD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 9 prints vs the forecast before each: 4 above · 0 in line · 5 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026 | Aug | 1.31M | 1.275M | Below forecast |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Jul | 1.35M | 1.239M | Below forecast |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Jun | 1.31M | 1.427M | Above forecast |
| 16 Jun 2026 | May | 1.43M | 1.177M | Below forecast |
| 21 May 2026 | Apr | 1.41M | 1.465M | Above forecast |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Feb | 1.41M | 1.356M | Below forecast |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Jan | 1.35M | 1.487M | Above forecast |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Nov | 1.27M | 1.322M | Above forecast |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Oct | 1.33M | 1.246M | Below forecast |
What moved
After it prints: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Gold from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.