High importanceUSUSD · Housing · 12 Nov 2026 · 10:00 ET · in 26 d 3 h

US existing home sales (Oct)

Thu 12 November · 10:00 ET · in 26 d 3 h. Sales of previously owned homes.

Forecast
No forecast
Previous
3.99
Actual
Due 10:00 ET

Below 3.92In line 3.92 to 4.06Above 4.06

▏Forecast —○ Previous 3.99

The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints

BelowBelow 3.92USD down
EUR/USD up GBP/USD up USD/JPY down Gold up
In line3.92 to 4.06Limited follow-through
AboveAbove 4.06USD up
EUR/USD down GBP/USD down USD/JPY up Gold down

In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.07). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. USD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when USD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.

Its own historyLast 13 prints vs the forecast before each: 6 above · 1 in line · 6 below

3.823.974.124.274.42Oct ’25Dec ’25Feb ’26Apr ’26Jun ’26Aug ’26Oct ’26Oct (next)

— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range

Release history

ReleasedPeriodForecastActualPosition
13 Oct 2026Sep3.953.99Above forecast
10 Sep 2026Aug3.983.98In line with forecast
11 Aug 2026Jul4.054.06Above forecast
9 Jul 2026Jun4.24.09Below forecast
9 Jun 2026May4.074.17Above forecast
11 May 2026Apr4.054.02Below forecast
13 Apr 2026Mar4.063.98Below forecast
10 Mar 2026Feb3.894.09Above forecast
12 Feb 2026Jan4.183.91Below forecast
14 Jan 2026Dec4.214.35Above forecast
19 Dec 2025Nov4.24.13Below forecast
20 Nov 2025Oct4.084.1Above forecast

What moved

After it prints: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Gold from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.