US Conference Board consumer confidence (Oct)
Tue 27 October · 10:00 ET · in 10 d 2 h. How optimistic households feel about the economy.
- Forecast
- No forecast
- Previous
- 81.9
- Actual
- Due 10:00 ET
Below 78.4In line 78.4 to 85.4Above 85.4
▏Forecast —○ Previous 81.9
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below 78.4 | USD down EUR/USD up GBP/USD up USD/JPY down Gold up |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 78.4 to 85.4 | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 85.4 | USD up EUR/USD down GBP/USD down USD/JPY up Gold down |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 3.5). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. USD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when USD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 5 above · 0 in line · 7 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | Sep | 89.2 | 81.9 | Below forecast |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Aug | 90.2 | 89.4 | Below forecast |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Jul | 92.3 | 90.8 | Below forecast |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Jun | 94.4 | 91.2 | Below forecast |
| 26 May 2026 | May | 91.9 | 93.1 | Above forecast |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Apr | 89 | 92.8 | Above forecast |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Mar | 87.8 | 91.8 | Above forecast |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Feb | 87.4 | 91.2 | Above forecast |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Jan | 90.6 | 84.5 | Below forecast |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Dec | 91.7 | 89.1 | Below forecast |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Nov | 93.5 | 88.7 | Below forecast |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Oct | 93.4 | 94.6 | Above forecast |
What moved
After it prints: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Gold from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.