UK unemployment rate (Aug)
Tue 20 October · 02:00 ET (07:00 London) · in 2 d 17 h. Share of the labour force without work but seeking it.
- Forecast
- 5%
- Previous
- 4.9%
- Actual
- Due 02:00 ET
Below 4.9%In line 4.9% to 5.1%Above 5.1%
▏Forecast 5%○ Previous 4.9%
The levelsMeasured from its last 11 prints
| Below | Below 4.9% | GBP up GBP/USD up EUR/GBP down GBP/JPY up |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 4.9% to 5.1% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 5.1% | GBP down GBP/USD down EUR/GBP up GBP/JPY down |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.1%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. GBP up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when GBP does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 11 prints vs the forecast before each: 5 above · 1 in line · 5 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | Jul | 5% | 4.9% | Below forecast |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Jun | 4.8% | 4.9% | Above forecast |
| 21 Jul 2026 | May | 5% | 4.9% | Below forecast |
| 18 Jun 2026 | Apr | 5% | 4.9% | Below forecast |
| 19 May 2026 | Mar | 4.9% | 5% | Above forecast |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Feb | 5.2% | 4.9% | Below forecast |
| 19 Mar 2026 | Jan | 5.3% | 5.2% | Below forecast |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Dec | 5.1% | 5.2% | Above forecast |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Nov | 5% | 5.1% | Above forecast |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Oct | 5.1% | 5.1% | In line with forecast |
| 11 Nov 2025 | Sep | 4.9% | 5% | Above forecast |
What moved
After it prints: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP and GBP/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.