UK retail sales, month on month (Sep)
Fri 23 October · 02:00 ET (07:00 London) · in 5 d 17 h. Consumer spending at retailers.
- Forecast
- 0.1%
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Actual
- Due 02:00 ET
Below −0.6%In line −0.6% to 0.8%Above 0.8%
▏Forecast 0.1%○ Previous 0.5%
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below −0.6% | GBP down GBP/USD down EUR/GBP up GBP/JPY down |
|---|---|---|
| In line | −0.6% to 0.8% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 0.8% | GBP up GBP/USD up EUR/GBP down GBP/JPY up |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.7%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. GBP up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when GBP does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 8 above · 1 in line · 3 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | Aug | −0.2% | 0.5% | Above forecast |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Jul | −0.5% | −0.5% | In line with forecast |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Jun | −0.3% | 1% | Above forecast |
| 19 Jun 2026 | May | 0.5% | 1.2% | Above forecast |
| 22 May 2026 | Apr | −0.6% | −1.3% | Below forecast |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Mar | 0.2% | 0.7% | Above forecast |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Feb | −0.7% | −0.4% | Above forecast |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Jan | 0.2% | 1.8% | Above forecast |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Dec | −0.1% | 0.4% | Above forecast |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Nov | 0.4% | −0.1% | Below forecast |
| 21 Nov 2025 | Oct | 0% | −1.1% | Below forecast |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Sep | −0.2% | 0.5% | Above forecast |
What moved
After it prints: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP and GBP/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.