Japan Tankan large manufacturers index (Q3)
- Actual
- 24
- Forecast
- 25
- Previous
- 22
Below 24In line 24 to 26Above 26
▏Forecast 25○ Previous 22● Actual 24
Below its usual rangeJPY downbelow 24.
What moved
- USD/JPY+0.31%
- EUR/JPY+0.33%
- GBP/JPY+0.35%
USD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY from the hour before to the hour after (19:00 → 21:00 ET), from 1-hour bars. Timing, not cause: other news lands in the same window.
The levelsMeasured from its last 3 prints
| Below | Below 24 | JPY downLanded here USD/JPY up EUR/JPY up GBP/JPY up |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 24 to 26 | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 26 | JPY up USD/JPY down EUR/JPY down GBP/JPY down |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 1). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. JPY up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when JPY does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 4 prints vs the forecast before each: 2 above · 1 in line · 1 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | Q3 | 25 | 24 | Below forecast |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Q2 | 16 | 22 | Above forecast |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Q1 | 16 | 17 | Above forecast |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Q4 | 15 | 15 | In line with forecast |