Japan inflation rate, year on year (Sep)
Thu 22 October · 19:30 ET (08:30 Tokyo) · in 5 d 11 h. Change in the general price level.
- Forecast
- 2.3%
- Previous
- 1.9%
- Actual
- Due 19:30 ET
Below 2.15%In line 2.15% to 2.45%Above 2.45%
▏Forecast 2.3%○ Previous 1.9%
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below 2.15% | JPY down USD/JPY up EUR/JPY up GBP/JPY up |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 2.15% to 2.45% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 2.45% | JPY up USD/JPY down EUR/JPY down GBP/JPY down |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.15%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. JPY up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when JPY does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 2 above · 2 in line · 8 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026 | Aug | 2.1% | 1.9% | Below forecast |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Jul | 1.7% | 1.9% | Above forecast |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Jun | 1.7% | 1.7% | In line with forecast |
| 18 Jun 2026 | May | 1.6% | 1.5% | Below forecast |
| 21 May 2026 | Apr | 1.8% | 1.4% | Below forecast |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Apr | 2.3% | 1.5% | Below forecast |
| 30 Mar 2026 | Mar | 2.2% | 2.3% | Above forecast |
| 23 Mar 2026 | Feb | 1.3% | 1.3% | In line with forecast |
| 19 Feb 2026 | Jan | 1.9% | 1.5% | Below forecast |
| 25 Dec 2025 | Dec | 2.5% | 2% | Below forecast |
| 27 Nov 2025 | Nov | 2.9% | 2.8% | Below forecast |
| 20 Nov 2025 | Oct | 3.1% | 3% | Below forecast |
What moved
After it prints: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.