High importanceJPJPY · Surveys · 29 Oct 2026 · 01:00 ET · in 11 d 17 h

Japan consumer confidence (Oct)

Thu 29 October · 01:00 ET (14:00 Tokyo) · in 11 d 17 h. How optimistic households feel about the economy.

Forecast
35.6%
Previous
35.4%
Actual
Due 01:00 ET

Below 35%In line 35% to 36.2%Above 36.2%

▏Forecast 35.6%○ Previous 35.4%

The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints

BelowBelow 35%JPY down
USD/JPY up EUR/JPY up GBP/JPY up
In line35% to 36.2%Limited follow-through
AboveAbove 36.2%JPY up
USD/JPY down EUR/JPY down GBP/JPY down

In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.6%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. JPY up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when JPY does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.

Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 7 above · 0 in line · 5 below

30.8%33.4%36%38.6%41.2%Oct ’25Jan ’26Mar ’26Apr ’26Jul ’26Sep ’26Oct (next)

— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range

Release history

ReleasedPeriodForecastActualPosition
5 Oct 2026Sep35.3%35.4%Above forecast
1 Sep 2026Aug35%35.5%Above forecast
30 Jul 2026Jul34.2%34.9%Above forecast
1 Jul 2026Jun34%33.8%Below forecast
29 May 2026May32%33.6%Above forecast
30 Apr 2026Apr33.1%32.2%Below forecast
9 Apr 2026Mar38%33.3%Below forecast
4 Mar 2026Feb38.2%40%Above forecast
29 Jan 2026Jan38%37.9%Below forecast
8 Jan 2026Dec37.8%37.2%Below forecast
2 Dec 2025Nov35.9%37.5%Above forecast
29 Oct 2025Oct35.6%35.8%Above forecast

What moved

After it prints: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.