Bank of Japan interest rate decision
Thu 29 October · 23:00 ET (12:00 Tokyo) · in 12 d 14 h. The central bank’s policy rate decision.
- Forecast
- 1.25%
- Previous
- 1.25%
- Actual
- Due 23:00 ET
Below 1.25%In line 1.25% to 1.25%Above 1.25%
▏Forecast 1.25%○ Previous 1.25%
The levelsMeasured from its last 8 prints
| Below | Below 1.25% | JPY down USD/JPY up EUR/JPY up GBP/JPY up |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 1.25% to 1.25% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 1.25% | JPY up USD/JPY down EUR/JPY down GBP/JPY down |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. JPY up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when JPY does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 8 prints vs the forecast before each: 0 above · 8 in line · 0 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026 | — | 1.25% | 1.25% | In line with forecast |
| 30 Jul 2026 | — | 1% | 1% | In line with forecast |
| 15 Jun 2026 | — | 1% | 1% | In line with forecast |
| 27 Apr 2026 | — | 0.75% | 0.75% | In line with forecast |
| 18 Mar 2026 | — | 0.75% | 0.75% | In line with forecast |
| 22 Jan 2026 | — | 0.75% | 0.75% | In line with forecast |
| 18 Dec 2025 | — | 0.75% | 0.75% | In line with forecast |
| 29 Oct 2025 | — | 0.5% | 0.5% | In line with forecast |
What moved
After it prints: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.