German Ifo business climate (Oct)
Mon 26 October · 05:00 ET (10:00 Frankfurt) · in 8 d 20 h. Firms’ assessment of current and expected conditions.
- Forecast
- 89.2
- Previous
- 89.9
- Actual
- Due 05:00 ET
Below 88.7In line 88.7 to 89.8Above 89.8
▏Forecast 89.2○ Previous 89.9
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below 88.7 | EUR down EUR/USD down EUR/GBP down EUR/JPY down |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 88.7 to 89.8 | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 89.8 | EUR up EUR/USD up EUR/GBP up EUR/JPY up |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.5). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. EUR up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when EUR does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 7 above · 1 in line · 4 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | Sep | 89 | 89.9 | Above forecast |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Aug | 87.2 | 88.8 | Above forecast |
| 27 Jul 2026 | Jul | 86 | 86.6 | Above forecast |
| 24 Jun 2026 | Jun | 85.6 | 85.6 | In line with forecast |
| 22 May 2026 | May | 84.2 | 84.9 | Above forecast |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Apr | 85.5 | 84.4 | Below forecast |
| 25 Mar 2026 | Mar | 86.1 | 86.4 | Above forecast |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Feb | 88.4 | 88.6 | Above forecast |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Jan | 88.1 | 87.6 | Below forecast |
| 17 Dec 2025 | Dec | 88.2 | 87.6 | Below forecast |
| 24 Nov 2025 | Nov | 88.5 | 88.1 | Below forecast |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Oct | 88 | 88.4 | Above forecast |
What moved
After it prints: EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.