German GfK consumer confidence (Nov)
Wed 28 October · 03:00 ET (08:00 Frankfurt) · in 10 d 19 h. How optimistic households feel about the economy.
- Forecast
- −32%
- Previous
- −30.6%
- Actual
- Due 03:00 ET
Below −33.9%In line −33.9% to −30.1%Above −30.1%
▏Forecast −32%○ Previous −30.6%
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below −33.9% | EUR down EUR/USD down EUR/GBP down EUR/JPY down |
|---|---|---|
| In line | −33.9% to −30.1% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above −30.1% | EUR up EUR/USD up EUR/GBP up EUR/JPY up |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 1.9%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. EUR up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when EUR does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 3 above · 1 in line · 8 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | Oct | −27.4% | −30.6% | Below forecast |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Sep | −29.6% | −26.6% | Above forecast |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Aug | −28.5% | −29.6% | Below forecast |
| 25 Jun 2026 | Jul | −27.6% | −29.2% | Below forecast |
| 22 May 2026 | Jun | −34% | −29.8% | Above forecast |
| 27 Apr 2026 | May | −29.5% | −33.3% | Below forecast |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Apr | −26.5% | −28% | Below forecast |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Mar | −23.1% | −24.7% | Below forecast |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Feb | −25.8% | −24.1% | Above forecast |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Jan | −23.2% | −26.9% | Below forecast |
| 27 Nov 2025 | Dec | −23.2% | −23.2% | In line with forecast |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Nov | −22% | −24.1% | Below forecast |
What moved
After it prints: EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.