High importanceDEEUR · Other · 9 Nov 2026 · 02:00 ET · in 22 d 18 h

German balance of trade (Sep)

Mon 9 November · 02:00 ET (08:00 Frankfurt) · in 22 d 18 h.

Forecast
15.6
Previous
19.5
Actual
Due 02:00 ET

Below 13.1In line 13.1 to 18.1Above 18.1

▏Forecast 15.6○ Previous 19.5

The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints

BelowBelow 13.1No mapped direction
In line13.1 to 18.1Limited follow-through
AboveAbove 18.1No mapped direction

In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 2.5). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. EUR up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when EUR does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.

Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 7 above · 0 in line · 5 below

11.8714.5417.219.8722.53Nov ’25Jan ’26Mar ’26May ’26Jul ’26Sep ’26Sep (next)

— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range

Release history

ReleasedPeriodForecastActualPosition
8 Oct 2026Aug1919.5Above forecast
8 Sep 2026Jul1621.3Above forecast
7 Aug 2026Jun17.415.4Below forecast
9 Jul 2026May14.819.1Above forecast
9 Jun 2026Apr1514.5Below forecast
8 May 2026Mar18.414.3Below forecast
9 Apr 2026Feb18.519.8Above forecast
10 Mar 2026Jan15.221.2Above forecast
6 Feb 2026Dec14.117.1Above forecast
9 Jan 2026Nov16.513.1Below forecast
9 Dec 2025Oct15.216.9Above forecast
7 Nov 2025Sep16.815.3Below forecast

What moved

After it prints: The pairs it maps from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.