German balance of trade (Sep)
Mon 9 November · 02:00 ET (08:00 Frankfurt) · in 22 d 18 h.
- Forecast
- 15.6
- Previous
- 19.5
- Actual
- Due 02:00 ET
Below 13.1In line 13.1 to 18.1Above 18.1
▏Forecast 15.6○ Previous 19.5
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below 13.1 | No mapped direction |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 13.1 to 18.1 | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 18.1 | No mapped direction |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 2.5). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. EUR up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when EUR does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 7 above · 0 in line · 5 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | Aug | 19 | 19.5 | Above forecast |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Jul | 16 | 21.3 | Above forecast |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Jun | 17.4 | 15.4 | Below forecast |
| 9 Jul 2026 | May | 14.8 | 19.1 | Above forecast |
| 9 Jun 2026 | Apr | 15 | 14.5 | Below forecast |
| 8 May 2026 | Mar | 18.4 | 14.3 | Below forecast |
| 9 Apr 2026 | Feb | 18.5 | 19.8 | Above forecast |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Jan | 15.2 | 21.2 | Above forecast |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Dec | 14.1 | 17.1 | Above forecast |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Nov | 16.5 | 13.1 | Below forecast |
| 9 Dec 2025 | Oct | 15.2 | 16.9 | Above forecast |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Sep | 16.8 | 15.3 | Below forecast |
What moved
After it prints: The pairs it maps from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.
