China NBS manufacturing PMI (Oct)
Fri 30 October · 21:30 ET (09:30 Beijing) · in 13 d 13 h. Purchasing-managers survey — above 50 signals expansion.
- Forecast
- 50.3
- Previous
- 50.1
- Actual
- Due 21:30 ET
Below 50.1In line 50.1 to 50.5Above 50.5
▏Forecast 50.3○ Previous 50.1
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below 50.1 | CNY down |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 50.1 to 50.5 | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 50.5 | CNY up |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.2). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. CNY up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when CNY does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 5 above · 3 in line · 4 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | Sep | 50.1 | 50.1 | In line with forecast |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Aug | 49.7 | 49.8 | Above forecast |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Jul | 50 | 49.2 | Below forecast |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Jun | 50.1 | 50.3 | Above forecast |
| 30 May 2026 | May | 50 | 50 | In line with forecast |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Apr | 50.1 | 50.3 | Above forecast |
| 30 Mar 2026 | Mar | 50.1 | 50.4 | Above forecast |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Feb | 49.1 | 49 | Below forecast |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Jan | 50 | 49.3 | Below forecast |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Dec | 49.2 | 50.1 | Above forecast |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Nov | 49.2 | 49.2 | In line with forecast |
| 30 Oct 2025 | Oct | 49.6 | 49 | Below forecast |
What moved
After it prints: The pairs it maps from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.