High importanceCNCNY · Inflation · 8 Nov 2026 · 20:30 ET · in 22 d 13 h

China inflation rate, year on year (Oct)

Sun 8 November · 20:30 ET (09:30 Beijing) · in 22 d 13 h. Change in the general price level.

Forecast
0.9%
Previous
0.9%
Actual
Due 20:30 ET

Below 0.75%In line 0.75% to 1.05%Above 1.05%

▏Forecast 0.9%○ Previous 0.9%

The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints

BelowBelow 0.75%CNY down
In line0.75% to 1.05%Limited follow-through
AboveAbove 1.05%CNY up

In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.15%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. CNY up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when CNY does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.

Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 3 above · 2 in line · 7 below

−0.2%0.23%0.65%1.07%1.5%Nov ’25Jan ’26Mar ’26May ’26Jul ’26Sep ’26Oct (next)

— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range

Release history

ReleasedPeriodForecastActualPosition
13 Oct 2026Sep1%0.9%Below forecast
8 Sep 2026Aug0.8%0.8%In line with forecast
8 Aug 2026Jul0.8%0.5%Below forecast
8 Jul 2026Jun1.1%1%Below forecast
9 Jun 2026May1.3%1.2%Below forecast
10 May 2026Apr0.8%1.2%Above forecast
9 Apr 2026Mar1.2%1%Below forecast
8 Mar 2026Feb0.8%1.3%Above forecast
10 Feb 2026Jan0.4%0.2%Below forecast
8 Jan 2026Dec0.9%0.8%Below forecast
9 Dec 2025Nov0.7%0.7%In line with forecast
8 Nov 2025Oct0%0.2%Above forecast

What moved

After it prints: The pairs it maps from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.