Canada unemployment rate (Oct)
Fri 6 November · 08:30 ET · in 20 d 1 h. Share of the labour force without work but seeking it.
- Forecast
- No forecast
- Previous
- 6.5%
- Actual
- Due 08:30 ET
Below 6.35%In line 6.35% to 6.65%Above 6.65%
▏Forecast —○ Previous 6.5%
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below 6.35% | CAD up USD/CAD down CAD/JPY up |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 6.35% to 6.65% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 6.65% | CAD down USD/CAD up CAD/JPY down |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.15%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. CAD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when CAD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 3 above · 2 in line · 7 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | Sep | 6.5% | 6.5% | In line with forecast |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Aug | 6.4% | 6.4% | In line with forecast |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Jul | 6.5% | 6.4% | Below forecast |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Jun | 6.6% | 6.5% | Below forecast |
| 5 Jun 2026 | May | 6.9% | 6.6% | Below forecast |
| 8 May 2026 | Apr | 6.7% | 6.9% | Above forecast |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Mar | 6.8% | 6.7% | Below forecast |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Feb | 6.6% | 6.7% | Above forecast |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Jan | 6.8% | 6.5% | Below forecast |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Dec | 6.6% | 6.8% | Above forecast |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Nov | 7% | 6.5% | Below forecast |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Oct | 7.1% | 6.9% | Below forecast |
What moved
After it prints: USD/CAD and CAD/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.