High importanceCACAD · Surveys · 6 Nov 2026 · 10:00 ET · in 20 d 3 h

Canada Ivey PMI (Oct)

Fri 6 November · 10:00 ET · in 20 d 3 h. Purchasing-managers survey — above 50 signals expansion.

Forecast
No forecast
Previous
58.2
Actual
Due 10:00 ET

Below 54In line 54 to 62.4Above 62.4

▏Forecast —○ Previous 58.2

The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints

BelowBelow 54CAD down
USD/CAD up CAD/JPY down
In line54 to 62.4Limited follow-through
AboveAbove 62.4CAD up
USD/CAD down CAD/JPY up

In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 4.2). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. CAD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when CAD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.

Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 6 above · 0 in line · 6 below

45.8851.3456.862.2667.72Nov ’25Jan ’26Mar ’26May ’26Jul ’26Sep ’26Oct (next)

— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range

Release history

ReleasedPeriodForecastActualPosition
6 Oct 2026Sep65.258.2Below forecast
4 Sep 2026Aug56.264.3Above forecast
7 Aug 2026Jul55.555.1Below forecast
7 Jul 2026Jun59.156.2Below forecast
5 Jun 2026May5558.2Above forecast
6 May 2026Apr49.957.7Above forecast
7 Apr 2026Mar55.949.7Below forecast
6 Mar 2026Feb51.156.6Above forecast
6 Feb 2026Jan49.750.9Above forecast
7 Jan 2026Dec49.551.9Above forecast
4 Dec 2025Nov53.648.4Below forecast
6 Nov 2025Oct55.252.4Below forecast

What moved

After it prints: USD/CAD and CAD/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.