Bank of Canada interest rate decision
Wed 28 October · 09:45 ET · in 11 d 1 h. The central bank’s policy rate decision.
- Forecast
- 2.25%
- Previous
- 2.25%
- Actual
- Due 09:45 ET
Below 2.25%In line 2.25% to 2.25%Above 2.25%
▏Forecast 2.25%○ Previous 2.25%
The levelsMeasured from its last 8 prints
| Below | Below 2.25% | CAD down USD/CAD up CAD/JPY down |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 2.25% to 2.25% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 2.25% | CAD up USD/CAD down CAD/JPY up |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. CAD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when CAD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 8 prints vs the forecast before each: 0 above · 8 in line · 0 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sep 2026 | — | 2.25% | 2.25% | In line with forecast |
| 15 Jul 2026 | — | 2.25% | 2.25% | In line with forecast |
| 10 Jun 2026 | — | 2.25% | 2.25% | In line with forecast |
| 29 Apr 2026 | — | 2.25% | 2.25% | In line with forecast |
| 18 Mar 2026 | — | 2.25% | 2.25% | In line with forecast |
| 28 Jan 2026 | — | 2.25% | 2.25% | In line with forecast |
| 10 Dec 2025 | — | 2.25% | 2.25% | In line with forecast |
| 29 Oct 2025 | — | 2.25% | 2.25% | In line with forecast |
What moved
After it prints: USD/CAD and CAD/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.