Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision (Nov)
Mon 2 November · 22:30 ET (14:30 Sydney) · in 16 d 15 h. The central bank’s policy rate decision.
- Forecast
- No forecast
- Previous
- 4.6%
- Actual
- Due 22:30 ET
Below 4.35%In line 4.35% to 4.85%Above 4.85%
▏Forecast —○ Previous 4.6%
The levelsMeasured from its last 8 prints
| Below | Below 4.35% | AUD down AUD/USD down AUD/JPY down |
|---|---|---|
| In line | 4.35% to 4.85% | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above 4.85% | AUD up AUD/USD up AUD/JPY up |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.25%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. AUD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when AUD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 8 prints vs the forecast before each: 0 above · 8 in line · 0 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | Sep | 4.6% | 4.6% | In line with forecast |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Aug | 4.35% | 4.35% | In line with forecast |
| 16 Jun 2026 | Jun | 4.35% | 4.35% | In line with forecast |
| 5 May 2026 | May | 4.35% | 4.35% | In line with forecast |
| 16 Mar 2026 | Mar | 4.1% | 4.1% | In line with forecast |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Feb | 3.85% | 3.85% | In line with forecast |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Dec | 3.6% | 3.6% | In line with forecast |
| 3 Nov 2025 | Nov | 3.6% | 3.6% | In line with forecast |
What moved
After it prints: AUD/USD and AUD/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.