Australia NAB business confidence (Oct)
Tue 10 November · 19:30 ET (11:30 Sydney) · in 24 d 12 h. How optimistic firms are about conditions.
- Forecast
- −12
- Previous
- −13
- Actual
- Due 19:30 ET
Below −16In line −16 to −8Above −8
▏Forecast −12○ Previous −13
The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints
| Below | Below −16 | AUD down AUD/USD down AUD/JPY down |
|---|---|---|
| In line | −16 to −8 | Limited follow-through |
| Above | Above −8 | AUD up AUD/USD up AUD/JPY up |
In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 4). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. AUD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when AUD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.
Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 4 above · 3 in line · 4 below
— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range
Release history
| Released | Period | Forecast | Actual | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | Sep | −9 | −13 | Below forecast |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Aug | −8 | −8 | In line with forecast |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Jul | −6 | −6 | In line with forecast |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Jun | −12 | −5 | Above forecast |
| 8 Jun 2026 | May | −22 | −14 | Above forecast |
| 11 May 2026 | Apr | −32 | −24 | Above forecast |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Mar | −6 | −29 | Below forecast |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Feb | 3 | −1 | Below forecast |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Jan | 3 | 3 | In line with forecast |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Dec | 2 | 3 | Above forecast |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Nov | — | 1 | — |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Oct | 8 | 6 | Below forecast |
What moved
After it prints: AUD/USD and AUD/JPY from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.