High importanceAUAUD · Growth · 1 Sep 2026 · 21:30 ET · released

Australia GDP growth, quarter on quarter (Q2)

Actual
0.4%
Forecast
0.3%
Previous
0.3%

Below 0.1%In line 0.1% to 0.5%Above 0.5%

▏Forecast 0.3%○ Previous 0.3%● Actual 0.4%

In line with its usual range0.1% to 0.5%: the playbook gives no direction for an in-line print.

What moved

  • AUD/USD+0.02%
  • AUD/JPY0.00%

AUD/USD and AUD/JPY from the hour before to the hour after (21:00 → 23:00 ET), from 1-hour bars. Timing, not cause: other news lands in the same window.

The levelsMeasured from its last 3 prints

BelowBelow 0.1%AUD down
AUD/USD down AUD/JPY down
In line0.1% to 0.5%Limited follow-throughLanded here
AboveAbove 0.5%AUD up
AUD/USD up AUD/JPY up

In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 0.2%). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. AUD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when AUD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.

Its own historyLast 4 prints vs the forecast before each: 2 above · 0 in line · 2 below

0.22%0.39%0.55%0.71%0.88%Dec ’25Mar ’26Jun ’26Sep ’26

— Forecast before the print● Actual

Release history

ReleasedPeriodForecastActualPosition
1 Sep 2026Q20.3%0.4%Above forecast
2 Jun 2026Q10.5%0.3%Below forecast
3 Mar 2026Q40.6%0.8%Above forecast
2 Dec 2025Q30.7%0.4%Below forecast