High importanceAUAUD · Other · 4 Nov 2026 · 19:30 ET · in 18 d 12 h

Australia balance of trade (Sep)

Wed 4 November · 19:30 ET (11:30 Sydney) · in 18 d 12 h.

Forecast
0.7
Previous
0.495
Actual
Due 19:30 ET

Below −0.687In line −0.687 to 2.087Above 2.087

▏Forecast 0.7○ Previous 0.495

The levelsMeasured from its last 12 prints

BelowBelow −0.687No mapped direction
In line−0.687 to 2.087Limited follow-through
AboveAbove 2.087No mapped direction

In line is the forecast ± how far this series usually lands from it (median miss 1.387). Above or below that is a genuine surprise. AUD up or down is the playbook’s mapping for this release; the pairs show how each quote moves when AUD does. Arithmetic, not a forecast.

Its own historyLast 12 prints vs the forecast before each: 6 above · 0 in line · 6 below

−4.32−1.491.334.166.99Nov ’25Jan ’26Mar ’26May ’26Jul ’26Sep ’26Sep (next)

— Forecast before the print● Actual▮ Next release: in-line range

Release history

ReleasedPeriodForecastActualPosition
30 Sep 2026Aug20.495Below forecast
2 Sep 2026Jul1.41.923Above forecast
5 Aug 2026Jun−1.11.929Above forecast
1 Jul 2026May2.2−3.018Below forecast
3 Jun 2026Apr1.81.791Below forecast
6 May 2026Mar4.25−1.841Below forecast
1 Apr 2026Feb2.65.686Above forecast
4 Mar 2026Jan3.92.631Below forecast
4 Feb 2026Dec3.33.373Above forecast
7 Jan 2026Nov4.92.936Below forecast
3 Dec 2025Oct4.24.385Above forecast
5 Nov 2025Sep3.853.938Above forecast

What moved

After it prints: The pairs it maps from the hour before to the hour after, from 1-hour bars.